Serra Talhadavs
Linhares
COMPLETEDBrazil · Capixaba B · 9/12/2025, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Serra Talhada · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Serra Talhada are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 4.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Linhares are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Serra Talhada hold a 4.1-point power-rating edge (86.1 v 81.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.8% in the Capixaba B, while Serra Talhada holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Serra Talhada
Probability
58.8%
Model confidence
58.8%
Serra Talhada has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 20 · GA 3 · avg 4.00/0.60
GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20