Serra BrancavsSergipe

Serra Branca are 2W-0D-2L in their last 4 (LWWL), averaging 1.25 scored and 1.25 conceded, while Sergipe are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 9 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Serra Branca hold a 6.3-point power-rating edge (57.4 v 51.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.8% in the Serie D, while Serra Branca holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 25% for over 2.5 goals.