GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 6/27/2026, 7:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Septemvri Sofia · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2

Highconfidence

Septemvri Sofia are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Marek are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Septemvri Sofia hold a 6.4-point power-rating edge (38.0 v 31.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.2% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Septemvri Sofia holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 79% BTTS chance and 81% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Septemvri Sofia

Probability

40.2%

Model confidence

40.2%

Septemvri Sofia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Septemvri SofiaWDWWD

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
MarekWDWDW

GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Septemvri SofiaMarek
58.3Attack33.3
19.4Defence25.0
33.3Form25.0
38.0Power31.6
2.43xG2.01
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