GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 1/14/2026, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Septemvri Sofia · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2

Highconfidence

Septemvri Sofia are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Marek are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Septemvri Sofia hold a 6.4-point power-rating edge (38.0 v 31.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.2% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Septemvri Sofia holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 79% BTTS chance and 81% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Septemvri Sofia

Probability

40.2%

Model confidence

40.2%

Septemvri Sofia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Septemvri SofiaDLLLW

GF 5 · GA 14 · avg 1.00/2.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
MarekLLLWL

GF 4 · GA 14 · avg 0.80/2.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Septemvri SofiaMarek
58.3Attack33.3
19.4Defence25.0
33.3Form25.0
38.0Power31.6
2.43xG2.01
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