GGOALVIO

Bulgaria · First League · 7/18/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Arda Kardzhali · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Septemvri Sofia are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Arda Kardzhali are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Arda Kardzhali hold a 34.4-point power-rating edge (25.8 v 60.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.4% in the First League, while Arda Kardzhali holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Arda Kardzhali

Probability

45.4%

Model confidence

45.4%

Arda Kardzhali has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Septemvri SofiaLWLWW

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Arda KardzhaliLDLWL

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Septemvri SofiaArda Kardzhali
22.2Attack41.7
33.3Defence75.0
11.1Form58.3
25.8Power60.3
0.82xG1.36
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