GGOALVIO

Bulgaria · Third League - Southwest · 8/8/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Septemvri Sofia II are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Slavia Sofia II are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Septemvri Sofia II hold a 30.3-point power-rating edge (83.3 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Third League - Southwest, favouring a draw with 13.4% confidence, a 50% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

28.1%

Model confidence

13.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Septemvri Sofia IIWWDLW

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Slavia Sofia IIWWDWL

GF 14 · GA 7 · avg 2.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Septemvri Sofia IISlavia Sofia II
50.0Attack16.7
83.3Defence83.3
100.0Form50.0
83.3Power53.0
1.55xG0.98
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