GGOALVIO

Bulgaria · Third League - Southwest · 8/1/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Septemvri Simitli · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Septemvri Simitli are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Kostinbrod are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Septemvri Simitli hold a 35.5-point power-rating edge (86.5 v 51.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.8% in the Third League - Southwest, while Septemvri Simitli holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Septemvri Simitli

Probability

51.8%

Model confidence

51.8%

Septemvri Simitli has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Septemvri SimitliWWDWW

GF 12 · GA 1 · avg 2.40/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
KostinbrodLWLDL

GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Septemvri SimitliKostinbrod
66.7Attack50.0
83.3Defence50.0
100.0Form50.0
86.5Power51.0
1.85xG1.07
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