GGOALVIO

Bulgaria · Third League - Southwest · 8/15/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Septemvri Simitli · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Septemvri Simitli are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.20 conceded, while CSKA Sofia III are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Septemvri Simitli hold a 38.2-point power-rating edge (86.5 v 48.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.8% in the Third League - Southwest, while Septemvri Simitli holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Septemvri Simitli

Probability

52.7%

Model confidence

12.8%

Septemvri Simitli has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Septemvri SimitliWWWWD

GF 9 · GA 1 · avg 1.80/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
CSKA Sofia IIIDDWWW

GF 6 · GA 1 · avg 1.20/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Septemvri SimitliCSKA Sofia III
66.7Attack16.7
83.3Defence83.3
100.0Form33.3
86.5Power48.3
1.68xG0.97
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