Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gyeongju · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Seoul are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Gyeongju are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Gyeongju hold a 12.1-point power-rating edge (41.3 v 53.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.2% in the WK-League, while Gyeongju holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Gyeongju
Probability
51.2%
Model confidence
51.2%
Gyeongju has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20