Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Worthing · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Selsey are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 0.50 scored and 4.00 conceded, while Worthing are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 7 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Worthing hold a 32.5-point power-rating edge (15.3 v 47.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.6% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Worthing holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Worthing
Probability
41.5%
Model confidence
11.6%
Worthing has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 8 · avg 0.50/4.00
GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20