Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sejong SA · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Sejong SA are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Namyangju are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Namyangju hold a 4.6-point power-rating edge (48.9 v 53.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.1% in the K4 League, while Sejong SA holds the strongest overall chance at 34% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sejong SA
Probability
34.1%
Model confidence
34.1%
Sejong SA has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00