Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Jincheon · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2
Sejong SA are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Jincheon are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDDWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Jincheon hold an 18.1-point power-rating edge (48.9 v 67.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.1% in the K4 League, while Jincheon holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Jincheon
Probability
60.1%
Model confidence
60.1%
Jincheon has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20