GGOALVIO

South-Korea · K4 League · 3/15/2026, 6:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Geoje Citizen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Sejong SA are 2W-0D-1L in their last 3 (LWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.67 conceded, while Geoje Citizen are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 8 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 48.9 against 50.7. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.4% in the K4 League, while Geoje Citizen holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Geoje Citizen

Probability

38.4%

Model confidence

38.4%

Geoje Citizen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sejong SALWW

GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.67

BTTS 1/3O2.5 2/3
Geoje CitizenLLDLW

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Sejong SAGeoje Citizen
47.9Attack62.5
47.9Defence45.8
47.9Form43.8
48.9Power50.7
1.68xG1.80
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