Seattle Soundersvs
Vancouver Whitecaps
SCHEDULEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 8/17/2026, 2:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vancouver Whitecaps · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-2
Seattle Sounders are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Vancouver Whitecaps are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Vancouver Whitecaps hold an 18.8-point power-rating edge (49.6 v 68.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.2% in the Major League Soccer, while Vancouver Whitecaps holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Vancouver Whitecaps
Probability
61.1%
Model confidence
12.2%
Vancouver Whitecaps has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80