Seattle Soundersvs
St. Louis City
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 4/19/2026, 1:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Seattle Sounders are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.40 conceded, while St. Louis City are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and St. Louis City hold a 3.5-point power-rating edge (49.6 v 53.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.3% in the Major League Soccer, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
35.3%
Model confidence
35.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20