GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 5/17/2026, 1:15:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Seattle Sounders · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Seattle Sounders are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Los Angeles Galaxy are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 10 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Seattle Sounders hold a 5.4-point power-rating edge (49.6 v 44.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.1% in the Major League Soccer, while Seattle Sounders holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Seattle Sounders

Probability

41.1%

Model confidence

41.1%

Seattle Sounders has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Seattle SoundersWDDWW

GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
Los Angeles GalaxyLWDWL

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Seattle SoundersLos Angeles Galaxy
39.2Attack40.0
56.9Defence50.0
47.1Form36.7
49.6Power44.2
1.29xG0.94
View match centre →