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Seattle Sounders logoSeattle SoundersvsGuadalajara Chivas logoGuadalajara Chivas

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World · Leagues Cup · 8/13/2026, 2:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Seattle Sounders · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Seattle Sounders are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Guadalajara Chivas are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Seattle Sounders hold a 12.5-point power-rating edge (49.0 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.0% in the Leagues Cup, while Seattle Sounders holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Seattle Sounders

Probability

45.1%

Model confidence

13.0%

Seattle Sounders has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Seattle SoundersWLLLL

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Guadalajara ChivasLDDWL

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
Seattle SoundersGuadalajara Chivas
50.0Attack16.7
50.0Defence66.7
50.0Form16.7
49.0Power36.5
1.60xG1.20
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