Seattle Reign FCvs
Portland Thorns W
COMPLETEDUSA · NWSL Women · 7/12/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Seattle Reign FC · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Seattle Reign FC are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Portland Thorns W are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Portland Thorns W hold a 2.8-point power-rating edge (51.8 v 54.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.7% in the NWSL Women, while Seattle Reign FC holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Seattle Reign FC
Probability
35.9%
Model confidence
13.7%
Seattle Reign FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00