GGOALVIO

USA · NWSL Women · 4/5/2026, 12:45:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Seattle Reign FC W · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Seattle Reign FC W are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Denver Summit W are 1W-2D-1L in their last 4 (DWDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.75 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 9 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Seattle Reign FC W hold a 2.8-point power-rating edge (51.8 v 49.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.6% in the NWSL Women, while Seattle Reign FC W holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Seattle Reign FC W

Probability

39.3%

Model confidence

14.6%

Seattle Reign FC W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Seattle Reign FC WWWLWL

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Denver Summit WDWDL

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.75

BTTS 2/4O2.5 1/4
Seattle Reign FC WDenver Summit W
42.6Attack43.9
57.4Defence56.1
50.0Form42.1
51.8Power49.0
1.21xG1.01
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