Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Süderelbe · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Süderelbe are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Altona 93 are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Süderelbe hold a 29.9-point power-rating edge (53.1 v 23.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.0% in the Oberliga - Hamburg, while Süderelbe holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Süderelbe
Probability
62.0%
Model confidence
62.0%
Süderelbe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20
GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.20/2.60