GGOALVIO

Australia · New South Wales NPL · 4/18/2026, 7:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

SD Raiders · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

SD Raiders are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.60 conceded, while St. George Saints are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and SD Raiders hold a 12.1-point power-rating edge (48.1 v 36.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.0% in the New South Wales NPL, while SD Raiders holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

SD Raiders

Probability

57.0%

Model confidence

57.0%

SD Raiders has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SD RaidersLDWWL

GF 10 · GA 13 · avg 2.00/2.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
St. George SaintsLLLLW

GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
SD RaidersSt. George Saints
50.0Attack32.1
44.0Defence41.7
45.2Form28.6
48.1Power36.1
1.97xG0.96
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