GGOALVIO

Australia · New South Wales NPL · 5/2/2026, 7:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

APIA Leichhardt Tigers · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

SD Raiders are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while APIA Leichhardt Tigers are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and APIA Leichhardt Tigers hold a 23.4-point power-rating edge (48.1 v 71.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.1% in the New South Wales NPL, while APIA Leichhardt Tigers holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

APIA Leichhardt Tigers

Probability

61.1%

Model confidence

61.1%

APIA Leichhardt Tigers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SD RaidersWWLDW

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
APIA Leichhardt TigersWWDWW

GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
SD RaidersAPIA Leichhardt Tigers
50.0Attack73.8
44.0Defence60.7
45.2Form76.2
48.1Power71.6
1.19xG2.45
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