GGOALVIO

Australia · Queensland Premier League · 4/19/2026, 5:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

SC Wanderers · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Highconfidence

SC Wanderers are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Logan Lightning are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and SC Wanderers hold a 12.9-point power-rating edge (59.2 v 46.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 65.6% in the Queensland Premier League, while SC Wanderers holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

SC Wanderers

Probability

65.6%

Model confidence

65.6%

SC Wanderers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SC WanderersLLWDW

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Logan LightningLLDDW

GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
SC WanderersLogan Lightning
69.7Attack59.1
57.6Defence37.9
56.1Form40.9
59.2Power46.3
3.00xG1.37
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