GGOALVIO

Portugal · Primeira Liga · 8/16/2026, 7:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

GIL Vicente · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

SC Braga are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while GIL Vicente are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and GIL Vicente hold a 35.0-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.8% in the Primeira Liga, while GIL Vicente holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

GIL Vicente

Probability

37.8%

Model confidence

13.8%

GIL Vicente has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SC BragaDWWWD

GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
GIL VicenteWLLDW

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
SC BragaGIL Vicente
66.7Attack33.3
33.3Defence100.0
33.3Form100.0
45.3Power80.3
1.26xG1.36
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