GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Promocional Amateur · 8/10/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

SAT Moreno are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Nautico Hacoaj are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and SAT Moreno hold a 5.0-point power-rating edge (71.9 v 66.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 25.1% in the Torneo Promocional Amateur, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 26% BTTS chance and 17% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

39.5%

Model confidence

25.1%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SAT MorenoLWWLW

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Nautico HacoajWWDDD

GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
SAT MorenoNautico Hacoaj
51.9Attack40.7
85.2Defence88.9
77.8Form66.7
71.9Power66.9
0.86xG0.57
View match centre →