GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/31/2026, 5:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sassuolo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Sassuolo are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Folgore Caratese are 0W-1D-0L in their last 1 (D), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 6 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Sassuolo hold a 24.5-point power-rating edge (72.8 v 48.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.7% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Sassuolo holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sassuolo

Probability

44.7%

Model confidence

44.7%

Sassuolo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SassuoloLDWLL

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Folgore CarateseD

GF 1 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 0/1
SassuoloFolgore Caratese
66.7Attack16.7
66.7Defence83.3
77.8Form33.3
72.8Power48.3
1.98xG1.18
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