Saselvs
Harksheide
SCHEDULEDGermany · Oberliga - Hamburg · 8/16/2026, 9:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sasel · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Sasel are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 3.20 conceded, while Harksheide are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Sasel hold a 4.2-point power-rating edge (40.7 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.4% in the Oberliga - Hamburg, while Sasel holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sasel
Probability
44.1%
Model confidence
9.4%
Sasel has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 16 · avg 1.60/3.20
GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60