GGOALVIO

Sasel logoSaselvsHarksheide logoHarksheide

SCHEDULED

Germany · Oberliga - Hamburg · 8/16/2026, 9:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sasel · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Lowconfidence

Sasel are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 3.20 conceded, while Harksheide are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Sasel hold a 4.2-point power-rating edge (40.7 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.4% in the Oberliga - Hamburg, while Sasel holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sasel

Probability

44.1%

Model confidence

9.4%

Sasel has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SaselWLLLD

GF 8 · GA 16 · avg 1.60/3.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
HarksheideDLLWW

GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
SaselHarksheide
33.3Attack33.3
33.3Defence50.0
50.0Form16.7
40.7Power36.5
2.02xG1.71
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