Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sarıyer · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Sarıyer are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Muğlaspor are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 49.2 against 50.0. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.7% in the 1. Lig, while Sarıyer holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sarıyer
Probability
38.1%
Model confidence
14.7%
Sarıyer has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
GF 5 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/0.20