GGOALVIO

Norway · Eliteserien · 8/16/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sarpsborg 08 FF · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Sarpsborg 08 FF are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Sandefjord are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Sarpsborg 08 FF hold a 9.4-point power-rating edge (49.6 v 40.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 17.8% in the Eliteserien, while Sarpsborg 08 FF holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sarpsborg 08 FF

Probability

48.6%

Model confidence

17.8%

Sarpsborg 08 FF has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sarpsborg 08 FFLDWDW

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
SandefjordLLLLD

GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Sarpsborg 08 FFSandefjord
39.6Attack27.1
56.3Defence54.2
45.8Form31.3
49.6Power40.2
1.21xG0.64
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