GGOALVIO

Norway · Eliteserien · 7/26/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sarpsborg 08 FF · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Sarpsborg 08 FF are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Ham-Kam are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Sarpsborg 08 FF hold a 2.2-point power-rating edge (49.6 v 47.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.4% in the Eliteserien, while Sarpsborg 08 FF holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sarpsborg 08 FF

Probability

39.4%

Model confidence

39.4%

Sarpsborg 08 FF has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sarpsborg 08 FFDWLWW

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Ham-KamLLDWD

GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Sarpsborg 08 FFHam-Kam
39.6Attack50.0
56.3Defence43.8
45.8Form45.8
49.6Power47.4
1.45xG1.20
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