GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Federal A · 8/16/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Boca Unidos · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Sarmiento Resistencia are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Boca Unidos are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Boca Unidos hold a 7.8-point power-rating edge (38.5 v 46.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.1% in the Torneo Federal A, while Boca Unidos holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Boca Unidos

Probability

42.1%

Model confidence

42.1%

Boca Unidos has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sarmiento ResistenciaWLLWL

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Boca UnidosDWLLW

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Sarmiento ResistenciaBoca Unidos
26.3Attack42.6
49.1Defence51.9
31.6Form40.7
38.5Power46.3
0.80xG1.22
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