GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Federal A · 8/8/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Sarmiento Resistencia are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Atletico Escobar are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and atletico Escobar hold a 8.2-point power-rating edge (36.2 v 44.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely result in the Torneo Federal A, favouring a draw with 16.5% confidence, a 38% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

34.2%

Model confidence

16.5%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sarmiento ResistenciaLWLWL

GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Atletico EscobarLDWDW

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Sarmiento ResistenciaAtletico Escobar
24.1Attack36.7
48.1Defence46.7
27.8Form41.7
36.2Power44.4
0.81xG1.08
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