Sarmiento Res.vs
Gimnasia La Plata Res.
COMPLETEDArgentina · Reserve League · 3/17/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Sarmiento Res. are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Gimnasia La Plata Res. are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Gimnasia La Plata Res. hold a 7.8-point power-rating edge (43.7 v 51.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.6% in the Reserve League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 20% BTTS chance and 12% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
42.6%
Model confidence
42.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80