GGOALVIO

Argentina · Copa Argentina · 4/9/2026, 12:10:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sarmiento Junin · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Sarmiento Junin are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Tristan Suarez are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Sarmiento Junin hold a 24.2-point power-rating edge (47.8 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.5% in the Copa Argentina, while Sarmiento Junin holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sarmiento Junin

Probability

38.5%

Model confidence

38.5%

Sarmiento Junin has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sarmiento JuninWWLDW

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Tristan SuarezWWWDW

GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Sarmiento JuninTristan Suarez
16.7Attack0.0
66.7Defence66.7
50.0Form0.0
47.8Power23.7
1.25xG0.92
View match centre →