Sarmiento Juninvs
Tigre
COMPLETEDArgentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 4/25/2026, 10:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Sarmiento Junin are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Tigre are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLDDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Tigre hold a 6.7-point power-rating edge (45.9 v 52.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.7% in the Liga Profesional Argentina, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
41.7%
Model confidence
41.7%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.40/1.00