GGOALVIO

Argentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 8/3/2026, 7:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Independ. Rivadavia · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Sarmiento Junin are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Independ. Rivadavia are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Independ. Rivadavia hold an 18.3-point power-rating edge (45.9 v 64.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.3% in the Liga Profesional Argentina, while Independ. Rivadavia holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Independ. Rivadavia

Probability

52.3%

Model confidence

52.3%

Independ. Rivadavia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sarmiento JuninLLLLW

GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Independ. RivadaviaWDWWW

GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Sarmiento JuninIndepend. Rivadavia
35.0Attack55.6
53.3Defence66.7
41.7Form65.1
45.9Power64.2
0.71xG1.51
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