GGOALVIO

Argentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 4/13/2026, 7:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Sarmiento Junin are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Gimnasia L.P. are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Gimnasia L.P. hold a 10.0-point power-rating edge (45.9 v 55.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.9% in the Liga Profesional Argentina, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

38.9%

Model confidence

38.9%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sarmiento JuninWWWLD

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Gimnasia L.P.WLLLW

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Sarmiento JuninGimnasia L.P.
35.0Attack39.4
53.3Defence63.6
41.7Form57.6
45.9Power55.9
0.80xG1.05
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