GGOALVIO

Argentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 3/3/2026, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sarmiento Junin · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Sarmiento Junin are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Sarmiento Junin hold a 16.7-point power-rating edge (45.9 v 29.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.4% in the Liga Profesional Argentina, while Sarmiento Junin holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sarmiento Junin

Probability

46.4%

Model confidence

46.4%

Sarmiento Junin has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sarmiento JuninLLLWL

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Estudiantes de Rio CuartoWLLLL

GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Sarmiento JuninEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto
35.0Attack11.7
53.3Defence51.7
41.7Form15.0
45.9Power29.2
1.16xG0.55
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