GGOALVIO

Argentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 3/22/2026, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Sarmiento Junin are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Aldosivi are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Sarmiento Junin hold a 13.2-point power-rating edge (45.9 v 32.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.6% in the Liga Profesional Argentina, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 20% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

41.6%

Model confidence

41.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sarmiento JuninLDWLL

GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
AldosiviDDLLW

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Sarmiento JuninAldosivi
35.0Attack15.0
53.3Defence58.3
41.7Form15.0
45.9Power32.7
0.99xG0.56
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