GGOALVIO

Tajikistan · Vysshaya Liga · 8/14/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Khosilot Farkhor · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Mediumconfidence

Sardor Tursunzoda are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLDLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Khosilot Farkhor are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 3.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Khosilot Farkhor hold a 31.5-point power-rating edge (37.5 v 69.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.4% in the Vysshaya Liga, while Khosilot Farkhor holds the strongest overall chance at 72% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Khosilot Farkhor

Probability

72.3%

Model confidence

11.4%

Khosilot Farkhor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sardor TursunzodaWLDLL

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Khosilot FarkhorWWWWD

GF 18 · GA 8 · avg 3.60/1.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Sardor TursunzodaKhosilot Farkhor
43.6Attack71.8
41.0Defence66.7
23.1Form69.2
37.5Power69.0
0.84xG2.55
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