GGOALVIO

Tajikistan · Vysshaya Liga · 4/25/2026, 11:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sardor Tursunzoda · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Sardor Tursunzoda are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Barki Tajik are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Barki Tajik hold an 8.8-point power-rating edge (38.2 v 47.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.2% in the Vysshaya Liga, while Sardor Tursunzoda holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sardor Tursunzoda

Probability

36.2%

Model confidence

36.2%

Sardor Tursunzoda has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sardor TursunzodaLDLWD

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Barki TajikWLLWL

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Sardor TursunzodaBarki Tajik
47.6Attack42.9
38.1Defence47.6
23.8Form42.9
38.2Power47.0
1.55xG1.50
View match centre →