Sarasota Paradisevs
Forward Madison
COMPLETEDUSA · USL League One · 5/2/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Forward Madison · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2
Sarasota Paradise are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Forward Madison are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Forward Madison hold a 25.1-point power-rating edge (39.4 v 64.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 66.7% in the USL League One, while Forward Madison holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Forward Madison
Probability
66.7%
Model confidence
66.7%
Forward Madison has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60