GGOALVIO

USA · USL League One · 3/14/2026, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Fort Wayne · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Sarasota Paradise are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Fort Wayne are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 0.50 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 7 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Fort Wayne hold a 12.1-point power-rating edge (38.2 v 50.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.3% in the USL League One, while Fort Wayne holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Fort Wayne

Probability

46.3%

Model confidence

46.3%

Fort Wayne has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sarasota ParadiseLLLWL

GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Fort WayneLL

GF 1 · GA 4 · avg 0.50/2.00

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
Sarasota ParadiseFort Wayne
31.7Attack43.3
45.0Defence60.0
30.0Form45.0
38.2Power50.3
0.79xG1.36
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