GGOALVIO

USA · USL League One · 4/22/2026, 10:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Corpus Christi · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Sarasota Paradise are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Corpus Christi are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Corpus Christi hold an 8.6-point power-rating edge (39.4 v 48.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.2% in the USL League One, while Corpus Christi holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Corpus Christi

Probability

38.2%

Model confidence

38.2%

Corpus Christi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sarasota ParadiseLLLWD

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Corpus ChristiLLDDL

GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Sarasota ParadiseCorpus Christi
31.6Attack38.3
47.4Defence56.7
31.6Form43.3
39.4Power48.0
0.86xG1.14
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