Sarasota Paradisevs
Alta
COMPLETEDUSA · USL League One · 5/16/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Alta · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Sarasota Paradise are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Alta are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLDLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Alta hold a 14.2-point power-rating edge (38.2 v 52.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.7% in the USL League One, while Alta holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Alta
Probability
49.7%
Model confidence
49.7%
Alta has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00