Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Juventude · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Sao Paulo are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Juventude are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Juventude hold a 13.4-point power-rating edge (47.8 v 61.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.0% in the Copa Do Brasil, while Juventude holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Juventude
Probability
43.0%
Model confidence
43.0%
Juventude has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80