Sao PaulovsChapecoense-sc

Sao Paulo are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Chapecoense-sc are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Sao Paulo hold a 19.9-point power-rating edge (49.3 v 29.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 63.6% in the Serie A, while Sao Paulo holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.