GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie A · 7/23/2026, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Sao Paulo are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Atletico Paranaense are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Atletico Paranaense hold a 10.7-point power-rating edge (49.3 v 60.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.1% in the Serie A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 25% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

40.1%

Model confidence

40.1%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sao PauloLWDDL

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Atletico ParanaenseLLWWD

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Sao PauloAtletico Paranaense
40.9Attack44.9
60.6Defence71.0
40.9Form59.4
49.3Power60.0
0.73xG1.00
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