Sao JosevsSanta Catarina

Sao Jose are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Santa Catarina are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Santa Catarina hold a 9.6-point power-rating edge (50.6 v 60.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.2% in the Serie D, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 19% BTTS chance and 11% for over 2.5 goals.