Sao Josevs
Portuguesa RJ
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie D · 7/4/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Sao Jose are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Portuguesa RJ are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDLDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Portuguesa RJ hold a 3.1-point power-rating edge (50.6 v 53.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.8% in the Serie D, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 17% BTTS chance and 9% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
52.8%
Model confidence
52.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40